Survey Shows Home Prices and Rent Rates Expected to Increase

We report on Fannie Mae’s Quarterly National Housing Survey every ninety days. Fannie Mae also does a monthly survey covering different aspects of the housing market.

Here are some record numbers we found interesting in Fannie Mae’s March report (emphasis added).

  • Thirty-three percent of respondents expect home prices to increase over the next 12 months, the highest level over the past 12 months.
  • The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to buy rose to 73 percent,the highest level in over a year.
  • Forty-eight percent of respondents think that home rental prices will go up, the highest number recorded to date.
  • On average, respondents expect home rental prices to increase by 4.1 percent over the next 12 months, the highest number recorded to date.

Doug Duncan, chief economist of Fannie Mae, capped the report off by stating:

“Conditions are coming together to encourage people to want to buy homes. Americans’ rental price expectations for the next year continue to rise, reaching their record high level for our survey this month. With an increasing share of consumers expecting higher mortgage rates and home prices over the next 12 months, some may feel that renting is becoming more costly and that homeownership is a more compelling housing choice.”

 

This article is courtesy of our friends at Keeping Current Matters

The 4 C’s of Mortgage Underwriting

With Spring upon us, and new buyers out looking for houses, I thought today might be a good time to review the basics of what lenders look for as they decide to approve (or deny) mortgage applications. For at least 25 years, I have heard them called “The 4 C’s of Underwriting”- Capacity, Credit, Cash, and Collateral.  Guidelines and risk tolerances change, but the core criteria do not.

CAPACITY

CAPACITY is the analysis of comparing a borrower’s income to their proposed debt. It considers the borrower’s ability to repay the mortgage. Lenders look at two calculations (we call ratios). The first is your Housing Ratio. It simply is the percentage of your proposed total mortgage payment (principal & interest, real estate taxes, homeowner’s insurance and, if applicable, flood insurance and mortgage insurance – like PMI or the FHA MIP) divided by your monthly, pre-tax income. A solid Housing Ratio (often called the front end ratio) would be 28% or less; although, at times loans are approved at a significantly higher number. That’s because your front end ratio is looked at in conjunction with your back end ratio.

The back end ratio (referred to as your Debt Ratio) starts with that mortgage payment calculation from the Housing Ratio and adds to it your recurring debts that would show up on your credit report (auto loans, student loans, minimum credit card payments, etc.) without taking into consideration some other debts (phone bills, utility bills, cable TV). A good back ratio would be 40% or less. However, loans sometimes are granted with higher debt ratios. Understand that every application is different. Income can be impacted by overtime, night differential, bonuses, job history, unreimbursed expenses, commission, as well as other factors. Similarly, how your debts are considered can vary. Consult an experienced loan officer to determine how the underwriter will calculate your numbers.

CREDIT

CREDIT is the statistical prediction of a borrower’s future payment likelihood. By reviewing the past factors (payment history, total debt compared to total available debt, the types of monies: revolving credit vs. installment debt outstanding) a credit score is assigned each borrower which reflects the anticipated repayment. The higher your score, the lower the risk to the lender which usually results in better loan terms for the borrower. Your loan officer will look to run your credit early on to see what challenges may (or may not) present themselves.

CASH

CASH is a review of your asset picture after you close. There are really two components – cash in the deal and cash in reserves. Simply put, the bigger your down payment (the more of your own money at risk) the stronger the loan application. At the same time, the more money you have in reserve after closing the less likely you are to default. Two borrowers with the same profile as far as income ratios and credit scores have different risk levels if one has $50,000 in the bank after closing and the other has $50. There is logic here. The source of your assets will be examined. Is it savings? Was it a gift? Was it a one-time settlement/lottery victory/bonus? Discuss how much money you have and its origins with your loan officer.

COLLATERAL

COLLATERAL refers to the appraisal of your home. It considers many factors – sales of comparable homes, location of the home, size of the home, condition of the home, cost to rebuild the home, and even rental income options. Understand the lender does not want to foreclose (they aren’t in the real estate business), but they do need to have something to secure the loan against, in case of default. In today’s market, appraisers tend to be conservative in their evaluations. Appraisals are really the only one of the 4 C’s that can’t be determined ahead of time in most cases.

Now, each of the 4 C’s are important, but it’s really the combination of them that is key. Strong income ratios and a large down payment with strong reserves can offset some credit issues. Similarly, long and strong credit histories help higher ratios….and good credit and income can overcome lesser down payments. Talk openly and freely with your loan officer. They are on your side, advocating for you and looking to structure your file as favorably as possible.

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Survey Shows Americans Continue Aspiring For Homeownership

Quarterly National Housing Survey Shows that Americans of All Backgrounds Continue to Have Strong Aspirations to Own a Home

Attitudes About Homeownership as an Investment, Financial Constraints, and Mortgage Accessibility May Stand in the Way of Americans’ Purchase Decisions

Pete Bakel | 202-752-2034

WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTC) latest quarterly National Housing Survey focuses on the state of homeownership aspirations among Americans across all demographic groups. The survey finds that despite the recent housing crisis, most Americans continue to believe that owning their home is preferable to renting it. The data also indicate that while financial constraints and employment concerns may be keeping potential homebuyers on the sidelines in the near term, future improvements in employment and personal finances, a pickup in interest rates in response to stronger economic growth, and stabilizing home prices may move Americans to act on their aspirations in coming years.

  • Across all education levels, Americans say owing makes more sense than renting.  This belief is held consistently across all demographic groups.
  • Nearly two-thirds of current renters say that they will buy a house at some point in the future.
  • Non-financial factors such as safety and quality of local schools continue to be the top reasons for buying a home across all income groups.
  • African-Americans and Hispanics are more likely to cite various benefits, such as buying a home as a way to build wealth, homeownership as a symbol of success, and civic benefits.

“In spite of the impact of the housing crisis on home values and homeownership rates across the country, Americans by and large still hope to become homeowners,” said Doug Duncan, vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae. “Some may not be financially positioned to own a home in the near future, but Americans may begin to revisit that aspiration as employment and household balance sheets improve over the coming years.”

“A point of concern for the industry is that some consumers find the mortgage shopping process difficult to navigate,” Duncan continued. “If potential homeowners avoid the process because they believe it to be too complex, we will likely see a continued impact on homeownership rates.”

Overall, certain groups (renters, those with lower levels of education, people with lower incomes, African-Americans, and Hispanics) cite potential difficulties in getting a mortgage. Specifically, those renting today are most likely to cite poor credit, complexity of process, and bad economic times as major reasons not to buy a home.

  • Renters are consistently more likely than mortgage borrowers to think it would be difficult for them to get a home.
  • African-Americans and Hispanics are more likely to indicate that getting a mortgage is difficult, regardless of income level.
  • Groups with lower levels of education are more likely to say it would be difficult for them to get a mortgage than groups with higher levels of education.
  • Renters cite financial reasons as the major factors for not buying a home.
  • Hispanic and African-American renters are most likely to cite bad economic times and overall complexity of process as major reasons not to buy a home.
  • Lower income Americans also are consistently more likely to cite income and credit history as obstacles to getting a mortgage, and are less confident they are getting adequate home loan information.
  • Hispanics are less confident than other groups about receiving information they need to choose the right mortgage.

Invest in home ownershipMoreover, attitudes about homeownership as an investment, financial constraints, and mortgage accessibility may mean that more Americans choose not to act on their aspiration for homeownership, thus potentially leading to lower homeownership rates.

  • The margin of Americans believing homeownership has the highest investment potential has declined over the past several years.
  • At the same time, the perceived safety of owning a home as an investment has trended downward, reaching a low of 63 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011.
  • In turn, groups with higher levels of education and higher incomes are more likely to think buying a home is a safe investment.

The fourth-quarter 2011 National Housing Survey focus on the state of homeownership aspiration is based on more than 3,000 interviews from October 3, 2011 to December 20, 2011 among homeowners and renters to assess their attitudes toward owning and renting a home, confidence in homeownership as an investment, the current state of their household finances, views on the U.S. housing finance system, and overall confidence in the economy. Data findings for this topic also are based on similar surveys conducted throughout 2011, 2010, and in December 2003. Interviews were conducted by Penn Schoen Berland, in coordination with Fannie Mae.

For more detailed findings from the survey, click here.

Fannie Mae exists to expand affordable housing and bring global capital to local communities in order to serve the U.S. housing market. Fannie Mae has a federal charter and operates in America’s secondary mortgage market to enhance the liquidity of the mortgage market by providing funds to mortgage bankers and other lenders so that they may lend to home buyers. Our job is to help those who house America. Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/FannieMae.

Mortgage Application Are Up: Here’s How to Select A Lender

Interest ratesI had an interesting conversation with a young professional the other day. He told me that he only had four more days to select his lender and that his dad’s business partner told him to call me.

He lived outside of our market so I wasn’t sure if he wanted me to do his loan or just help him find a lender so I simply asked him what criteria he was using to make his decision.

With no hesitation, he simply said rate and closing costs.

Ironically I had just finished reading an article where they estimated that over 70% of the time a borrower closed at a higher rate than initially quoted. When I asked him if he was aware of this he said YES.

Isn’t it odd that a majority of consumers select their lender based on data that they know to be erroneous over half the time?

Rate and closing costs are obviously a key component, but let’s be real. If you aren’t working with someone you can trust and someone who knows what they are doing, does it really matter what they quote you?

 

Marty Preston, Branch Manager of Benchmark Mortgage in Lexington, Kentucky, is a consistent Top Producer and one of the country’s premier mortgage lenders. Marty is also a nationally known speaker and a major force in the national mortgage banking scene.

Short Sale Stats (INFOGRAPHIC)



Short Sale Infographic courtesy of Keeping Current Matters

Short Sale Stats (INFOGRAPHIC)



Short Sale Infographic courtesy of Keeping Current Matters

Smart Advice About Your Credit

Quick Tip Today:

Be aware that companies you do business with may sell your credit information. Now, many of the people buying the names and addresses of people who have given their credit information are legitimate marketing companies who are searching for a particular target audience. But lately, there is a rise of not-so-legitimate people who are buying your credit information to actually steal your credit profile.

We’ve all heard about identity theft, but how does it happen? Historically, it has usually been a case of the bad guys either rummaging through your garbage for old bank and credit card statements; or hacking a website where you entered info (like a credit card); or there have even been cases where bank databases were compromised. But, the sale of your information seems to be the most scary of them all. For between $40 and $80, would-be thieves can really mess up your credit and life.

True, most identity theft can be fixed, but it can take months – even when you hire an expert. Especially when you are looking to buy a home or even refinance it, months can be fatal.

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How Home Builders Are Appealing to Multiple Generations

Generational home buyersWhat are home builders thinking about? Multi-generational communities designed to meet the needs of Baby Boomers, Gen X and Gen Y families all living in close proximity.

MarketWatch recently showed how home builders are appealing to the various generational families in the market for a new home and how they are meeting all their different needs.

What are your thoughts on generational living? Can you foresee a time when you may have your parents living with you?

Spring Has Sprung

Here comes Spring, historically the time of year when buyers awake from the winter slumber of the holidays and snowfall, and go on their pilgrimage to look for new housing. Houses look better in Spring with green grass, blooming trees, and flowers.

Plus, buyers who find a home in the next 60 days can close after the school year ends and enjoy the summer months in their new backyards. It’s almost a rite of passage; baseball teams go to spring training, buyers go look at homes, and the birds fly back north.

But this Spring is different than those of recent memory…

  • Because of the warm weather we experienced here in the Northeast for most of this past winter buyers have been out for months – making offers and buying homes.
  • Many sellers have finally come to understand that they need to have a compelling price on their home to attract buyers. The days of listing your home and negotiating down are over because there are homes on the market already priced correctly, and those are the homes that buyers are going to. The overpriced inventory doesn’t even get their chance to negotiate down.
  • Rates have ticked up as economic news (like unemployment numbers) has improved. That, coupled with rising mortgage insurance premiums and guarantee fees, seems to have given some sense of urgency to buyers.
  • The looming shadow inventory, which most certainly will keep downward pressure on home prices (when added to easier short sale approvals), has tended to encourage home sellers to be more realistic in their expectations.
  • The abundance of information available to consumers has further increased their need for sound advice from top-notch real estate and mortgage professionals. The cream is certainly rising to the top in those professions.

Low interest rates, a tremendous selection to choose from, and the seasonality of it all makes for an exciting next 60-90 days. My advice to anyone looking to buy or sell is that waiting to be aggressive could be a fatal mistake if you hope to find the best deal. From my experience, the best deals come when more people are competing for them…and that time is NOW!

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HARP 2.0 Has Arrived (Video)

What is the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP)?

Announced in the beginning of 2009, HARP is a federal government program created to help 5 million underwater or near-underwater homeowners refinance into a fixed rate loan with a lower monthly payment. However, as of Aug. 31, 2011, only 894,000 borrowers have actually refinanced through HARP.

In October 2011, President Obama announced a makeover to the HARP program with the purpose of reaching more underwater homeowners. The expanded HARP program – also referred to as HARP 2.0 – took effect on March 17, 2012 for eligible borrowers.

How do I find out who holds my mortgage?

There are two eligibility requirements for the HARP program:

1. Your mortgage must be held by either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. To “look up” your mortgage, check Fannie Mae. If you can’t find your mortgage there, check Freddie Mac. Your loan must be owned by one of these two choices to be eligible for HARP 2.0.

2. Your loan must have been funded by May 31, 2009.

How do I know if I am eligible for HARP?

You can find out if you are eligible for HARP by contacting me today.